Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.8% vs Faksa 51.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 95.9%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 67.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 92.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Bergeron
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Bergeron
Faksa
Last 6: Bergeron 5-1 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
0
Bergeron
Faksa
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Bergeron
Faksa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (972)
52.1% (893)
+6.3%
Power Play
53.4% (221)
50.0% (34)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (175)
49.3% (150)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Bergeron is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Bergeron shoots right. Faksa is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Faksa
Home
59.0% (712)
52.6% (548)
Away
55.5% (656)
50.7% (529)
By Period
Bergeron
Faksa
P1
59.1%
51.5%
P2
60.2%
53.4%
P3
53.0%
50.1%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |