Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Faksa wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 56.2% vs Hertl 55.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 80.4%
Defensive zone
Faksa 81.0%
Neutral zone
Faksa 50.1%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Faksa
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Faksa
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Faksa
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
0
Faksa
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Faksa
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (671)
54.1% (717)
+2.8%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
61.9% (210)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (80)
58.1% (31)
-3.1%
On power play, Faksa has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Faksa is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Faksa shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Faksa
Hertl
Home
59.5% (375)
58.1% (492)
Away
54.6% (383)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Faksa
Hertl
P1
61.2%
57.1%
P2
54.5%
54.0%
P3
55.5%
56.6%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |