Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 52.4% vs Hertl 54.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 25-19 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 65.6%
Defensive zone
Faksa 82.8%
Neutral zone
Faksa 60.5%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Faksa
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
25
(44 meetings)
19
25
Faksa
Hertl
Last 10: Faksa 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
6
14
Faksa
Hertl
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
10
3
Faksa
Hertl
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
8
Faksa
Hertl
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (6,681)
53.8% (8,268)
-1.0%
Power Play
57.7% (291)
59.3% (1,975)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (1,372)
46.3% (806)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Faksa is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Faksa shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Faksa
Hertl
Home
52.9% (4,092)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
51.9% (4,252)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Faksa
Hertl
P1
53.0%
53.6%
P2
52.5%
54.1%
P3
52.0%
55.3%
OT
45.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |