Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.8%). Kupari wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 53.7% vs Hertl 54.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.1%
Defensive zone
Kupari 59.2%
Neutral zone
Kupari 61.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Kupari
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kupari
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Kupari
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (379)
54.1% (1,117)
-0.5%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
59.8% (296)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
72.2% (18)
34.4% (32)
+37.8%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kupari is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Kupari shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Kupari
Hertl
Home
55.5% (245)
54.3% (709)
Away
53.2% (158)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Kupari
Hertl
P1
58.8%
51.6%
P2
47.8%
53.6%
P3
57.4%
58.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |