Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 50.4% vs Hertl 54.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kupari 68.5%
Defensive zone
Kupari 82.7%
Neutral zone
Kupari 72.2%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Kupari
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Kupari
Hertl
Last 10: Kupari 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
8
Kupari
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kupari
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Kupari
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,275)
53.8% (8,268)
-3.3%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
59.3% (1,975)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (139)
46.3% (806)
+4.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kupari is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,056).
Kupari shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Kupari
Hertl
Home
51.4% (782)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
49.2% (655)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Kupari
Hertl
P1
49.9%
53.6%
P2
48.5%
54.1%
P3
52.9%
55.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |