Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kupari wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 44.4% vs Bozak 46.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 72.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 53.0%
Neutral zone
Kupari 59.7%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Kupari
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kupari
Bozak
Last 7: Kupari 2-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Kupari
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kupari
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Kupari
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (275)
46.7% (338)
-3.8%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
50.0% (6)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
32.6% (43)
+10.3%
On power play, Bozak has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kupari is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Kupari shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Kupari
Bozak
Home
46.6% (163)
47.9% (194)
Away
37.9% (140)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Kupari
Bozak
P1
38.7%
40.2%
P2
42.5%
51.4%
P3
47.0%
43.1%
Final 5 min
41.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
42.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |