Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kupari wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 50.4% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 53.3%
Defensive zone
Kupari 64.4%
Neutral zone
Kupari 61.9%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Kupari
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kupari
Bozak
Last 7: Kupari 2-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Kupari
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kupari
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Kupari
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,275)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.2%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
55.2% (1,990)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (139)
48.0% (1,094)
+2.4%
On power play, Bozak has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kupari is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Kupari shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Kupari
Bozak
Home
51.4% (782)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
49.2% (655)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Kupari
Bozak
P1
49.9%
53.2%
P2
48.5%
52.8%
P3
52.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |