Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 52.1% vs Chartier 51.9% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Chartier 61.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 70.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.2%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Johnson
Chartier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (186)
59.3% (27)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (37)
50.0% (6)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Chartier has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Johnson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Johnson shoots right. Chartier is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Johnson
Chartier
Home
51.6% (95)
54.5% (11)
Away
54.2% (131)
59.1% (22)
By Period
Johnson
Chartier
P1
46.7%
56.3%
P2
50.5%
55.6%
P3
58.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
57.6%