Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.0%). Johnson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.8% vs Chartier 51.5% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 51.1%
Defensive zone
Chartier 51.4%
Neutral zone
Chartier 56.2%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Johnson
Chartier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (51)
54.2% (225)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (30)
43.3% (67)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Johnson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Johnson shoots right. Chartier is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Johnson
Chartier
Home
56.3% (32)
49.5% (202)
Away
49.0% (49)
57.4% (94)
By Period
Johnson
Chartier
P1
55.6%
51.6%
P2
48.0%
49.5%
P3
51.7%
54.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.9%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
52.0%