Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 45.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gardner 49.5% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 64.3%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 56.0%
Neutral zone
Gardner 52.3%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Gardner
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gardner
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (11)
46.5% (101)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Gardner is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Gardner shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Gardner
Lorentz
Home
66.7% (3)
49.1% (53)
Away
37.5% (8)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Gardner
Lorentz
P1
25.0%
48.6%
P2
100.0%
36.7%
P3
25.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gardner
50.0%▲
45.2%
45.5%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%