Scouting Report
Rhett Gardner holds a +51.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gardner 51.0% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+51.1%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 54.4%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 59.8%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.7%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Gardner
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gardner
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
100.0% (2)
48.9% (135)
+51.1%
On even strength, Gardner has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gardner shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Gardner
Lorentz
Home
100.0% (2)
50.7% (75)
Away
0.0% (0)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Gardner
Lorentz
P1
100.0%
60.0%
P3
100.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
100.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gardner
50.0%▲
45.2%
100.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%