Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 48.0% vs Monahan 52.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 53.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 79.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 66.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Rakell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rakell
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
2
1
Rakell
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (75)
51.5% (641)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
62.8% (129)
-12.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rakell is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Rakell shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Rakell
Monahan
Home
45.7% (46)
53.9% (362)
Away
45.5% (33)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Rakell
Monahan
P1
33.3%
48.0%
P2
40.0%
57.0%
P3
63.6%
54.1%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
45.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |