Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Rakell wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 44.9% vs Monahan 51.3% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Rakell leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 68.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 72.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 65.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Rakell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Rakell
Monahan
Last 10: Rakell 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
5
Rakell
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
6
4
Rakell
Monahan
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
3
1
Rakell
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (1,864)
51.1% (11,356)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.3% (197)
53.7% (2,580)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
21.7% (23)
46.0% (766)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,334).
Rakell shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Rakell
Monahan
Home
46.7% (1,041)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
42.7% (1,044)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Rakell
Monahan
P1
45.6%
50.9%
P2
42.1%
51.7%
P3
46.4%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
44.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
44.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |