Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Rakell wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 48.0% vs Toffoli 50.7% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 69.3%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 61.4%
Neutral zone
Rakell 54.2%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Rakell
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (75)
62.5% (24)
-17.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On even strength, Toffoli has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Rakell is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Rakell shoots right. Toffoli is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Rakell
Toffoli
Home
45.7% (46)
52.9% (17)
Away
45.5% (33)
52.9% (17)
By Period
Rakell
Toffoli
P1
33.3%
58.3%
P2
40.0%
50.0%
P3
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
45.6%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
52.9%