Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 46.9% vs Toffoli 45.0% (-14.9%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 59.2%
Defensive zone
Rakell 50.6%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 52.9%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Rakell
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (12)
39.0% (59)
-14.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
36.4% (11)
-36.4%
On power play, Toffoli has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Rakell is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Rakell shoots right. Toffoli is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Rakell
Toffoli
Home
30.0% (10)
35.1% (37)
Away
0.0% (3)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Rakell
Toffoli
P1
20.0%
46.4%
P2
16.7%
26.9%
P3
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
0.0%
26.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
23.1%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
38.0%