Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 45.0% vs Thomas 52.9% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 58.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 52.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Greig
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Greig
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Greig
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Greig
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
0
Greig
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (414)
53.2% (1,166)
-8.0%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
56.9% (262)
-28.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
48.4% (221)
-19.8%
On power play, Thomas has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Greig is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Greig shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Greig
Thomas
Home
46.4% (196)
51.6% (830)
Away
41.9% (253)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Greig
Thomas
P1
40.8%
52.7%
P2
46.4%
55.6%
P3
43.9%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |