Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 48.8% vs Thomas 51.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 50.3%
Defensive zone
Greig 77.0%
Neutral zone
Greig 55.0%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Greig
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Greig
Thomas
Last 10: Greig 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Greig
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Greig
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Greig
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,133)
51.1% (5,350)
-2.6%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
55.8% (921)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
49.9% (691)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Greig shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Greig
Thomas
Home
49.8% (681)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
47.7% (698)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Greig
Thomas
P1
46.3%
50.6%
P2
51.2%
52.9%
P3
48.8%
50.8%
OT
28.6%
59.2%
Final 5 min
53.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |