Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.2%). Greig wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 50.6% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 62.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 53.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.7%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Greig
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Greig
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Greig
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Greig
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Greig
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (336)
51.8% (444)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (81)
45.3% (150)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Greig shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Greig
Kuraly
Home
50.2% (247)
54.6% (304)
Away
51.5% (194)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Greig
Kuraly
P1
46.9%
55.2%
P2
58.8%
45.7%
P3
48.3%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |