Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 48.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 79.8%
Defensive zone
Greig 50.6%
Neutral zone
Greig 66.4%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Greig
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Greig
Kuraly
Last 10: Greig 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Greig
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Greig
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
3
2
Greig
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,133)
51.5% (5,141)
-3.0%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
56.0% (100)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
44.2% (1,086)
+2.3%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Greig shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Greig
Kuraly
Home
49.8% (681)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
47.7% (698)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Greig
Kuraly
P1
46.3%
51.1%
P2
51.2%
49.9%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
OT
28.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |