Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 44.5% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 80.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 58.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Greig
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Greig
Kuraly
Last 8: Greig 4-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Greig
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Greig
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
3
1
Greig
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (103)
49.2% (901)
-10.4%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
68.2% (22)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
49.8% (219)
-49.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +49.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Greig is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Greig shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Greig
Kuraly
Home
37.7% (53)
51.7% (603)
Away
41.1% (56)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Greig
Kuraly
P1
41.7%
50.9%
P2
39.3%
49.5%
P3
37.8%
49.1%
Final 5 min
41.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |