Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 44.5% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 71.2%
Defensive zone
Greig 66.4%
Neutral zone
Greig 66.9%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Greig
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Greig
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Greig
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Greig
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (103)
55.3% (628)
-16.5%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
55.1% (216)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.2% (87)
-40.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Greig is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Greig shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Greig
Stamkos
Home
37.7% (53)
55.5% (499)
Away
41.1% (56)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Greig
Stamkos
P1
41.7%
50.7%
P2
39.3%
53.8%
P3
37.8%
55.9%
Final 5 min
41.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |