Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Nash 48.5% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 94.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 71.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 91.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Ryan
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Ryan
Nash
Last 8: Ryan 7-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
47.7% (801)
+8.8%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
51.2% (41)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
52.3% (107)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Ryan is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Ryan shoots right. Nash is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Ryan
Nash
Home
56.7% (466)
50.1% (467)
Away
56.3% (474)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Ryan
Nash
P1
55.4%
52.1%
P2
58.1%
44.9%
P3
55.8%
47.3%
OT
66.7%
63.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Riley Nash |