Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Nash 48.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 69.9%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 69.9%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 58.4%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Barbashev
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Barbashev
Nash
Last 5: Barbashev 0-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Barbashev
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Barbashev
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (300)
48.3% (449)
-3.6%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
37.5% (8)
+33.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
45.5% (55)
+2.1%
On power play, Barbashev has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Barbashev is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Barbashev shoots left. Nash is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Nash
Home
39.6% (134)
51.6% (275)
Away
49.5% (194)
43.5% (237)
By Period
Barbashev
Nash
P1
38.3%
52.7%
P2
50.0%
43.9%
P3
49.1%
47.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Riley Nash |