Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Barzal wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 43.4% vs Nash 48.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 69.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 78.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 86.1%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Barzal
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Barzal
Nash
Last 10: Barzal 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Barzal
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
5
1
Barzal
Nash
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
1
Barzal
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (813)
47.7% (801)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
51.2% (41)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
52.3% (107)
+47.7%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +47.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Barzal is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Barzal shoots right. Nash is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Barzal
Nash
Home
44.3% (436)
50.1% (467)
Away
40.7% (398)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Barzal
Nash
P1
39.7%
52.1%
P2
44.3%
44.9%
P3
44.2%
47.3%
OT
33.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
39.6%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |