Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 49.2% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 64.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 50.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Nash
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nash
Karlsson
Last 7: Nash 5-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Nash
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
5
1
Nash
Karlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (481)
47.2% (786)
+3.7%
Power Play
27.3% (11)
54.5% (11)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (70)
35.6% (163)
+4.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Nash is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Nash shoots right. Karlsson is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Nash
Karlsson
Home
46.5% (282)
46.4% (478)
Away
51.8% (280)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Nash
Karlsson
P1
48.5%
44.8%
P2
47.3%
45.6%
P3
51.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | William Karlsson |