Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 51.7% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 80.4%
Defensive zone
Nash 63.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Nash
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Nash
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nash
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
2
0
Nash
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (292)
51.4% (735)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
63.5% (115)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (98)
42.9% (133)
+3.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Nash shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Nash
Karlsson
Home
56.3% (183)
52.3% (524)
Away
48.6% (214)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Nash
Karlsson
P1
58.9%
50.7%
P2
51.0%
51.4%
P3
46.5%
53.2%
OT
100.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Riley Nash |