Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 48.5% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 85.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 76.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 78.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Nash
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
11
(30 meetings)
19
11
Nash
Karlsson
Last 10: Nash 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
5
Nash
Karlsson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
5
3
Nash
Karlsson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
10
3
Nash
Karlsson
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (4,621)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.0% (249)
54.8% (1,048)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (550)
44.2% (1,109)
+0.7%
On power play, Karlsson has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Nash shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Nash
Karlsson
Home
50.2% (2,740)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
46.7% (2,681)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Nash
Karlsson
P1
49.0%
50.3%
P2
47.9%
51.3%
P3
48.0%
52.4%
OT
68.4%
44.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Riley Nash |