Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 49.8% vs Gourde 48.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 72.1%
Defensive zone
Nash 71.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 58.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Nash
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nash
Gourde
Last 5: Nash 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
4
1
Nash
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (283)
49.0% (557)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
65.9% (44)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
29.2% (48)
+9.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Nash shoots right. Gourde is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Nash
Gourde
Home
50.6% (178)
49.0% (314)
Away
48.6% (148)
48.4% (335)
By Period
Nash
Gourde
P1
46.8%
54.0%
P2
45.5%
44.6%
P3
56.4%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Riley Nash |