Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 51.7% vs Gourde 49.5% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 68.3%
Defensive zone
Nash 70.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.5%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Nash
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (292)
49.1% (731)
+5.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
54.3% (81)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (98)
48.2% (85)
-2.3%
On even strength, Nash has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Nash shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Nash
Gourde
Home
56.3% (183)
50.9% (479)
Away
48.6% (214)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Nash
Gourde
P1
58.9%
51.2%
P2
51.0%
49.8%
P3
46.5%
47.5%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%