Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.2%). Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 48.5% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.4%
Defensive zone
Nash 50.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Nash
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Nash
Gourde
Last 9: Nash 6-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nash
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
5
2
Nash
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (4,621)
48.4% (4,954)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.0% (249)
57.4% (376)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (550)
39.9% (554)
+5.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Nash shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Nash
Gourde
Home
50.2% (2,740)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
46.7% (2,681)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Nash
Gourde
P1
49.0%
49.9%
P2
47.9%
47.4%
P3
48.0%
47.5%
OT
68.4%
37.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |