Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Sheahan wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 49.1% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 58.7%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 92.2%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 76.4%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Last 8: Sheahan 0-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
8
Sheahan
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (613)
57.3% (1,073)
-6.4%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
58.5% (258)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (201)
50.7% (225)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sheahan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sheahan shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Home
51.1% (409)
59.2% (765)
Away
47.1% (425)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Sheahan
O'Reilly
P1
46.8%
55.6%
P2
54.6%
61.0%
P3
45.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2019 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2019 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |