Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 50.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 50-30 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Sheahan 89.4%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 83.5%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 82.6%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
50
(80 meetings)
30
50
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sheahan 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
29
Sheahan
O'Reilly
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
13
9
Sheahan
O'Reilly
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
11
12
Sheahan
O'Reilly
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (4,968)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.2%
Power Play
55.6% (322)
58.8% (3,445)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (1,068)
51.4% (2,811)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Sheahan shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Home
51.1% (3,247)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.0% (3,111)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Sheahan
O'Reilly
P1
51.3%
55.6%
P2
51.2%
57.0%
P3
48.1%
55.1%
OT
35.6%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |