Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Sheahan wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 47.5% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Sheahan 71.3%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 83.6%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 74.2%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sheahan 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
9
Sheahan
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
0
Sheahan
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
4
2
Sheahan
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (357)
56.6% (1,064)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
60.4% (260)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (194)
54.0% (261)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Sheahan shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Sheahan
O'Reilly
Home
44.8% (248)
54.9% (801)
Away
48.9% (311)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Sheahan
O'Reilly
P1
46.2%
58.0%
P2
50.5%
56.7%
P3
44.7%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
43.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |