Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.1%). Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Thomas 52.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 60.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Henrique
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Henrique
Thomas
Last 6: Henrique 1-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Henrique
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Henrique
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
53.2% (1,166)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
56.9% (262)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
48.4% (221)
-0.9%
On power play, Thomas has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thomas
Home
56.4% (553)
51.6% (830)
Away
50.0% (530)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Henrique
Thomas
P1
51.7%
52.7%
P2
55.5%
55.6%
P3
52.5%
50.6%
OT
66.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |