Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 53.1%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Thomas 52.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 75.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 73.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 56.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Strome
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Strome
Thomas
Last 9: Strome 8-1 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
4
1
Strome
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
53.2% (1,166)
-2.6%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
56.9% (262)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
48.4% (221)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Strome
Thomas
Home
51.9% (700)
51.6% (830)
Away
53.9% (620)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Strome
Thomas
P1
51.6%
52.7%
P2
53.0%
55.6%
P3
54.3%
50.6%
OT
44.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |