Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Rossi wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Thomas 51.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 31-15 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 75.8%
Defensive zone
Rossi 84.4%
Neutral zone
Rossi 73.8%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Rossi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
31
(46 meetings)
15
31
Rossi
Thomas
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
6
7
Rossi
Thomas
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
7
11
Rossi
Thomas
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
13
Rossi
Thomas
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
51.1% (5,350)
-4.1%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
55.8% (921)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
49.9% (691)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Rossi shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Rossi
Thomas
Home
47.8% (1,207)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Rossi
Thomas
P1
47.3%
50.6%
P2
44.8%
52.9%
P3
48.3%
50.8%
OT
45.8%
59.2%
Final 5 min
44.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |