Scouting Report
Matt Boldy holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Boldy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boldy 52.7% vs Thomas 52.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 64.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 66.2%
Neutral zone
Boldy 57.4%
Result
Matt Boldy favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Boldy
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Boldy
Thomas
Last 5: Boldy 4-1 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boldy
4
0
Boldy
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Boldy
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boldy
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (97)
53.6% (924)
+4.1%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
55.2% (181)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
44.0% (116)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Boldy has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Boldy is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Boldy shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Boldy
Thomas
Home
57.5% (80)
53.6% (606)
Away
50.8% (61)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Boldy
Thomas
P1
54.5%
48.2%
P2
55.6%
55.3%
P3
56.0%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
59.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boldy
56.0%▲
45.5%
54.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |