Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 53.1%). Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Thomas 52.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 66.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 70.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Foligno
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Foligno
Thomas
Last 9: Foligno 3-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Foligno
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Foligno
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
53.2% (1,166)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
56.9% (262)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
48.4% (221)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Foligno
Thomas
Home
57.3% (225)
51.6% (830)
Away
47.1% (210)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Foligno
Thomas
P1
53.0%
52.7%
P2
51.8%
55.6%
P3
52.6%
50.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |