Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 50.6% vs Thomas 51.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 63.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 72.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.4%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Greig
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Greig
Thomas
Last 5: Greig 1-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Greig
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Greig
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Greig
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (336)
50.1% (615)
+1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
62.2% (98)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (81)
52.6% (114)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Greig is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Greig shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Greig
Thomas
Home
50.2% (247)
51.9% (374)
Away
51.5% (194)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Greig
Thomas
P1
46.9%
49.2%
P2
58.8%
55.3%
P3
48.3%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |