Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Greene 45.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greene 63.6%
Defensive zone
Greene 70.5%
Neutral zone
Greene 69.3%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Thomas
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Thomas
Greene
Last 7: Thomas 2-5 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
2
Thomas
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Greene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Thomas
Greene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
44.1% (506)
+6.0%
Power Play
62.2% (98)
47.5% (59)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
43.6% (149)
+9.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Thomas shoots right. Greene is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Thomas
Greene
Home
51.9% (374)
47.4% (382)
Away
51.9% (453)
40.7% (332)
By Period
Thomas
Greene
P1
49.2%
47.2%
P2
55.3%
39.0%
P3
50.6%
47.0%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |