Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Greene 44.7% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greene 58.2%
Defensive zone
Greene 80.5%
Neutral zone
Greene 67.7%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Thomas
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Thomas
Greene
Last 7: Thomas 2-5 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
2
Thomas
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Greene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Thomas
Greene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
43.7% (524)
+7.4%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
47.5% (59)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
43.6% (149)
+6.3%
On power play, Thomas has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,043).
Thomas shoots right. Greene is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Thomas
Greene
Home
50.9% (3,458)
47.4% (382)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
40.3% (350)
By Period
Thomas
Greene
P1
50.6%
46.4%
P2
52.9%
38.9%
P3
50.8%
47.0%
OT
59.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |