Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Poehling 47.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 71.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 74.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Thomas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Thomas
Poehling
Last 8: Thomas 4-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Thomas
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
49.8% (626)
+0.3%
Power Play
62.2% (98)
58.3% (12)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
38.2% (207)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Thomas shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Thomas
Poehling
Home
51.9% (374)
47.3% (404)
Away
51.9% (453)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Thomas
Poehling
P1
49.2%
53.5%
P2
55.3%
39.4%
P3
50.6%
49.1%
OT
57.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |