Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 49.9% vs Poehling 47.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 63.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 53.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Thomas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Thomas
Poehling
Last 5: Thomas 5-0 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
0
Thomas
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (910)
45.1% (437)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.5% (142)
56.4% (39)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (75)
61.5% (13)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Thomas shoots right. Poehling is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Thomas
Poehling
Home
47.3% (514)
46.6% (232)
Away
52.0% (613)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Thomas
Poehling
P1
50.4%
43.9%
P2
47.5%
49.1%
P3
51.4%
46.4%
OT
61.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |