Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Poehling 48.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 81.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 61.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 59.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Thomas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
11
(30 meetings)
19
11
Thomas
Poehling
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
7
1
Thomas
Poehling
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
6
7
Thomas
Poehling
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
6
3
Thomas
Poehling
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
49.4% (2,726)
+1.7%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
51.6% (93)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
41.6% (623)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Thomas shoots right. Poehling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Thomas
Poehling
Home
50.9% (3,458)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Thomas
Poehling
P1
50.6%
50.9%
P2
52.9%
47.0%
P3
50.8%
46.9%
OT
59.2%
37.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |