Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thomas wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 49.9% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 75.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 76.5%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 64.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Thomas
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Thomas
Lafferty
Last 7: Thomas 3-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Lafferty
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Thomas
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Thomas
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (910)
40.9% (232)
+8.1%
Power Play
53.5% (142)
100.0% (1)
-46.5%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (75)
40.0% (30)
+13.3%
On power play, Lafferty has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Thomas shoots right. Lafferty is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Thomas
Lafferty
Home
47.3% (514)
38.2% (123)
Away
52.0% (613)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Thomas
Lafferty
P1
50.4%
41.6%
P2
47.5%
36.7%
P3
51.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |