Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.7% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 69.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 72.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 56.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Thomas
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Thomas
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Thomas
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (924)
52.2% (366)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.2% (181)
60.0% (15)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (116)
46.2% (104)
-2.2%
On power play, Lafferty has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Thomas shoots right. Lafferty is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Thomas
Lafferty
Home
53.6% (606)
53.1% (258)
Away
52.2% (615)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Thomas
Lafferty
P1
48.2%
52.5%
P2
55.3%
49.7%
P3
55.2%
51.3%
OT
47.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |