Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Steel 50.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 57.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 54.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Thomas
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
17
(40 meetings)
23
17
Thomas
Steel
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
9
6
Thomas
Steel
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
6
9
Thomas
Steel
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
8
2
Thomas
Steel
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
50.6% (2,876)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
62.6% (179)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
37.4% (254)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Thomas shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Thomas
Steel
Home
50.9% (3,458)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Thomas
Steel
P1
50.6%
51.9%
P2
52.9%
49.5%
P3
50.8%
49.6%
OT
59.2%
41.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |