Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Steel 52.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 51.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 58.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 53.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Thomas
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Thomas
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Thomas
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Thomas
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
56.9% (320)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
71.4% (7)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
37.0% (73)
+15.5%
On power play, Steel has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Thomas shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Thomas
Steel
Home
55.1% (690)
55.9% (202)
Away
54.5% (648)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Thomas
Steel
P1
55.5%
55.5%
P2
56.4%
55.1%
P3
51.5%
50.3%
Final 5 min
54.6%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Sam Steel |