Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thomas wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.9% vs Pinto 50.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 72.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 54.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 60.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Thomas
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Thomas
Pinto
Last 7: Thomas 5-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thomas
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (1,166)
51.2% (463)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.9% (262)
50.0% (14)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (221)
36.8% (19)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Thomas shoots right. Pinto is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Thomas
Pinto
Home
51.6% (830)
52.2% (205)
Away
54.7% (819)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Thomas
Pinto
P1
52.7%
48.7%
P2
55.6%
51.8%
P3
50.6%
51.2%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |