Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Pinto 50.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 78.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 60.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 63.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Thomas
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Thomas
Pinto
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
2
Thomas
Pinto
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Thomas
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
7
2
Thomas
Pinto
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
50.6% (2,716)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
54.4% (90)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
44.9% (234)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,043).
Thomas shoots right. Pinto is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Thomas
Pinto
Home
50.9% (3,458)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Thomas
Pinto
P1
50.6%
48.3%
P2
52.9%
51.7%
P3
50.8%
50.9%
OT
59.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |